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Last 3 Posts @ May 17, 2008 1:57:14 AM EDT

NOT BRASSED OFF..... (6 hrs, 52 mins ago)

Apologies for not blogging earlier on but today recovering from Mayor-making last night in Mytholmroyd. Thanks to Hebden Bridge Junior Band for saving the day and pra...

Grimmer Up North

Transparency = popularity. Apparently (7 hrs, 16 mins ago)

The good ol’ High Court seems to have had the final word on whether the details of MPs’ expenses claims are published. Well, transparency is what it’...

And another thing...

Rangers riot aftermath (7 hrs, 18 mins ago)

<!--Mime Type of File is image/jpeg --> Manchester United fans are to pay the price for the Glasgow Rangers riot, which took place here in Piccadilly Gardens not tw...

Stephen Newton's diary of sorts...

Tuesday, July 31, 2007

Council housing allocation - 4 comments

A few days late, but here's a thought-provoking article on entitlement to council housing at UK Commentators. The conclusion is a challenging one:
What the [BBC] programme basically tells us is that Margaret Hodge's allegations on housing were correct. Recently arrived economic migrants and those granted asylum can go straight to the top of the queue - because it's needs-based rather than entitlement-based.
Do read it all, but I'm sure Labour supporters are still right to reject the false choice and unpleasant politics implied in such a position.

Some thoughts: firstly, the idea that we should shift the allocation of scarce resources from being on the basis of need to one of entitlement - or vice versa - is a ludicrous one, as if anyone can acquire an entitlement to social housing without some degree of need, and as if 'entitlement' is worth the paper it's written on when the supply of housing is so short. That much can't be in doubt. What might be in doubt is whether people accept that spending longer in a queue should give one priority over someone with greater (adjudged) need, further back.

Unlike a Post Office queue, membership of a housing queue doesn't necessarily impose pain and frustration, and where it does, this can be factored into the need calculation. Reading the quotes cited by the original post, one is never far from the belief that the concept of 'need' is devalued by systematic abuse by those claiming to be homeless deceitfully:
WALES: Essentially what we’ve got at the moment is a race to the bottom, What we do is we allocate properties on the basis of how you present yourself to a local council, so you walk in and say I’m homeless you get a greater priority then you walk in and say I’ve managed to do something for myself but I’m still looking for a council property [...]

FIELD: [...] society goes round because people work, because people play the game, because people are decent citizens and that should be rewarded rather than ‘ah look I’m actually homeless or I’ve managed to persuade people that I am deemed to be homeless therefore I should shoot to the top of the list’.
But why can't abuse be detected in advance? Any Council or official prepared to devalue the term 'need' can only do so if promoting entitlement-solutions is more important than protecting those for whom need is a meaningful term, and an urgent one. It's not as if the losers are being compensated for having to wait in line with vouchers that could be redeemed against public/private-sector rents in other localities.

Perhaps the real injustice is the concept of the queue, itself - unfair to those with great need near the back, and to those with slightly less who get leap-frogged near the front. Here's a fairer alternative - a lottery: devise a system of 'points' for each housing case, which are allocated according to 'need', its urgency, as well as length of time already spent in the queue. For each vacancy that comes up, calculate the total number of points, select a random number within, and allocate the place to whoever has the winning ticket. Repeat for each vacancy, making the tariff and the (anonymised) results available to the public, and penalising anyone found to have abused the system.

Increasing the supply of housing is not a sufficient solution, and should not be used to project 'difficult' allocation decisions several years into the future. The mechanism above would work now, and should be fairer for all while social housing is in short supply, without requiring the slightest nod towards those whose housing agenda is a cover for discriminatory community-building, or to those politicians who seek to profit one way or another from local controversies.

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An activist speaks... - 1 comment

Farbeit from me to defend David Cameron, but a drivel-obsessed media is hardly much more of a pleasant prospect than his premiership. So an 'activist' - Mr. Ali Miraj - is able to get media coverage for repeating the truism that "substance has been replaced by PR" among the Conservative leadership - while continuing to seek a position as a parliamentary candidate - and criticising his party leader's judgement "over his decision to visit Rwanda to learn about development issues while parts of his Oxfordshire constituency suffered flooding".

Correct me if I'm wrong, but would Cameron's presence in Witney during the flooding serve any useful purpose other than being a PR opportunity? I'm assuming Cameron's leadership skills wouldn't have been called upon to organise flood defences, rescue the stranded, or repair the damage left behind, whilst it was possible that visiting Rwanda would indeed improve his understanding of international development issues - issues that affect us all. What kind of impulse do you think Miraj was trying to appeal to there, all you Conservative-watchers?

I think it's only fair that if Cameron decides to dispense with this activist's services, we'll cut him a little slack.

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Thursday, July 26, 2007

Why not Zimbabwe? - 2 comments

I like Neil Harding a lot, and admire the fervency of his blogging, but his latest piece: "Euston Manifesto is a busted flush - pathetic right-wingers dressed in left-wing clothes" seems to show no reluctance to join the canon of Euston-bashing articles, that contains a scant few thoughtful ethically-serious pieces amid a sea of bile from some truly dreadful bloggers and cranks. Leaving aside my rhetoric, the most popular strategy of opponents is to judge the Euston Manifesto not on the basis of what it states, but on the basis of the very worst behaviour (past and present) that can be attributed to those politicians, writers, and other public figures who it is believed (rightly or wrongly) as signers/supporters, as if their contrary words and actions can be taken as a refutation of that Manifesto.

Neil is quite entitled to ask whether the behaviour of individuals/administrations that declare they have changed their mind - you won't be surprised to hear that the topic is "US commitment to worldwide democracy" - is significantly different after the event from what it was before. However, a healthy scepticism does not allow an observer the right to assume - when evidence is available one way or another - that the declaration is a lie, and use language like "It didn't take a genius to deduce...", and "it is pretty clear which was the priority..." in order to prop up a pet theory about economic determinism - a theory that sucks moral and ethical concerns out of the political space, replacing them with claims and counter-claims about "who profits?", amid mounting ignorance and cynicism about policy-making.

But why Iraq and not also Zimbabwe, Sudan, North Korea, Saudi Arabia - all these countries are severely lacking in democracy with brutal regimes oppressing their citizens.
For hopefully the final time, here's why I can't attribute a genuine moral seriousness to those who include passages such as the above. It's not that questioning why there was military intervention in Iraq and not the other countries is taboo, or an uninteresting question, it's that those who move swiftly past questions like "Should the regimes in any/all of these countries be toppled, for the sake of their suffering population?" and "If so, what strategy is most likely to achieve a positive result with the widest international support, and the minimum fallout?" have overstepped the line that those who claim to be primarily motivated by the rescue of the suffering populations must walk. I'll give the benefit of the doubt to those who ask the quoted question 70% of the time, and the latter two questions 30% of the time, but not to those who are happy with a 95%-5% balance, whichever way around.

Then again with only economics (well, if you reduce it to "profit" and "Oil") as a possible foreign policy motivation, what else can you lobby your elected representative about on the subject of Zimbabwe? How else can a document that talks about egalitarianism, democracy, and the rights of individuals over states be routinely labelled "right-wing"? There's always the possibility of an internal uprising, of course, it's just a shame about those repressive state apparatuses with no concern for human life...

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Tuesday, July 24, 2007

500 up - 3 comments

During the past day our Labour blog count reached a remarkable 502 (more statistics on posting activity here), so now seems like a good time to list some of the new joiners. Since the last run-down was in January, the list is long, but a (belated) welcome to everyone mentioned - they appear in reverse order of discovery/submission, and descriptions appear where one was supplied, or else I found a bit of text that seemed like a good summary.

While 502 is a large enough figure (I wonder if anyone out there would care to estimate the equivalent figure for the Conservatives?) the challenge is to bring on board the hundreds who live only on MpURL, and the many others who blog quietly and unobtrusively, unaware that this blogging network exists. Anything you can do to help me with this would be much appreciated.

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Sunday, July 15, 2007

Celebrity Tory candidate plan backfires shock - no comments

Here's Tory by-election candidate, Tony Lit (to his friends) pictured at a Labour Party fund-raising dinner (also here), with his political friend, later, arch-enemy, Tony Blair, just 5 days after paying this nice cheque, 7 days before joining the Conservative Party, and one additional day before being 'parachuted in' as Tory candidate.

Tony who??

I imagine you're lucky if you don't work in a profession where you're expected to smile for the camera whichever saint or scum-bag you're stood next to. All the same, you have to wonder about the intellectual seriousness of any political animal who's prepared to look so relaxed with a party leader when their views are so in flux that they jump party within a week of the photo having been taken (this logic applies just as readily to defecting members of Parliament). In the unlikely event of David Cameron appearing at a function I was invited to, I doubt I'd be able to crack much of a smile with him even if I was wobbling, politically (which, thanks to DC, I'm a very long way from doing).

I don't know anything about Lit's political views. He might be reasonable for all I know, but appearing to be a fraud from Day 1 isn't a good start: with luck we won't have to worry after Thursday, July 19th.

Thanks - and apologies - to Mr W and Mr B.

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Monday, July 09, 2007

Bias against liberty / Immigration - no comments

Chris at Stumbling and Mumbling reminds us of the salience heuristic (more here on the Wikipedia) in attacking Rod Liddle's theory that tighter immigration controls might have prevented al-Qa’eda from organising within the NHS.

Specifically, the criticism is of the idea that the imagined policy of tighter controls would have been implemented 100% successfully, so that we would never be able to look back in hindsight and spot a dangerous individual who had slipped through the net (a false negative), while the 'right sort of people' would continue to be allowed through without (a false positive) hindrance or persecution.

Perhaps one way of looking at this kind of policy in practice is that each application of immigration policy - let's say, the processing of a particular case - must feature a particular probability of error: a probability that might increase with political pressure, with an increase in staffing levels and consequent average decline in competence, and might decrease with greater resources per head. A tighter policy - more application of policy - must, all else being equal, lead to a greater number of errors, whether that be terrorists being allowed in, or 'genuine'/'valuable' people being denied entrance/sent packing. The assumption that all the new resources can - rather than being spread around the system, making more mistakes of their own, throughout - be directed by an omniscient force to solve the existing errors, is illogical as well as hopelessly far-fetched.

Assuming both types of error make us equally unhappy (don't they? If not, please elaborate), surely only improved detection offers us a way of reducing errors - that is to say, differentiating potential terrorists from valued future citizens. Let any additional resources/legislation be directed there.

*

The original purpose of this post was in fact to link to the Friedrich Hayek quotation that Chris cites (my emphasis):
Since the value of freedom rests on the opportunities it provides for unforeseeable and unpredictable actions, we will rarely know what we lose through a particular restriction of freedom. Any such restriction, any coercion other than the enforcement of general rules, will aim at the achievement of some foreseeable particular result, but what is prevented by it will usually not be known... And so, when we decide each issue solely on what appear to be its individual merits, we always over-estimate the advantages of central direction. (Law Legislation and Liberty Vol I, p56-57.)
Beat that.

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Sunday, July 08, 2007

An equal and opposite reaction - 1 comment

Just to prove that 'moderate' is a mere step away from 'extremist', and that looking like a recruitment consultant really does make you an enemy of all things human, yet another CiF post that spirals into madness towards the end, with two choice sentences:
Targeting and killing innocent people is wrong whether done by terrorists in London or via the illegal occupation of another country.
That sly little via. Who knows what horrors could conceivably occur at the end of a road that begins with the illegal occupation of another country? But I'm not buying that: I'm going to suggest the most reasonable interpretation is that the two possibilities must occur at the same time, at the same distance along their respective paths. That is, we're really being asked to compare 'targeting and killing innocent people' with 'illegal occupation of another country', and if Mr. Masroor feels this is debatable, how seriously can we take his earlier, less equivocating statements?

Don't think too hard, for this corker is just a full stop away (my link added):
To quote Sir Isaac Newton's definition of the laws of physics, our actions in Iraq must have equal and opposite reactions - our policies in the Middle East will haunt us for centuries and that is the price we will have to pay for our misguided former prime minister.
As they say, a little knowledge is a dangerous thing. I think B4L's readers are intelligent enough to see the essential difference between fundamentals of mechanics and physics on one hand, and human decision-making on the other. It's something most of us have an innate feel for as we look up at the bars of our cots, and which all too many dangerous idiots train themselves to deny.

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Wednesday, July 04, 2007

Proposal: flexible blog commenting for all - 8 comments

The Wardman Wire has a post about the relationship between blog aggregators (i.e. things like B4L) - or 'portals', if you will - and their constituent blogs, and asks whether or not those aggregators should (or indeed could) accept comments on behalf of those constituent blogs.

Perhaps I just haven't looked widely enough, but this seems to be yet another opportunity for some keen web developer to fill a yawning gap in the market and make life easier for a lot of people.

It seems to me that if you've taken the time to post a blog entry, and accept comments on your own blog, albeit with certain limitations (e.g. no anonymous commenters, or only approved people who appear in your WordPress database), you should be fairly comfortable with the idea that a Bloggers4Labour reader who reads your post might be able to (again, assuming they meet the same criteria) comment, without even having to click through to your blog. Plausible? Well, perhaps this is somebody who prefers to receive round-up emails, or use a feed reader application - they might not even Bloggers4Labour's site.

So, you'd be happy with wider access in theory, but what wouldn't be of any use to you is if Bloggers4Labour kept all those comments itself, causing you to have to check (and monitor) two sets of threads, rather than one. Unfortunately that would seem to be the only likely solution at present. I now refer you to the first comment I left at The Wardman Wire:
The vast majority of blogs use the comment facilities that come with their blogging package: if more could be persuaded to use external services then there’d be the opportunity for B4L (and perhaps other savvy aggregators) to accept comments for a syndicated post and push them onto the same queue/list that the source blog uses, which would seem to be the ideal: maximum exposure for comments, and without duplication.
I haven't come across any external commenting service that does allow this. Here's my next comment:

I guess if Google opened up comment feeds for the vast number of Blogger blogs, a service akin FeedBurner could wrap the vast majority of blog comment feeds up; they’d then only need to allow other (authenticated) people (e.g. those who run aggregators) to publish to them, and you’d have the kind of ideal system I mentioned earlier.

Nice little online business opportunity for someone there! Sadly I don’t have the time any more.

Just to clarify how this might work:

  1. Google reveals how all Blogger uses can publish an authenticated comment feed URL.
  2. 17-year-old web developer simultaneously launches new external comments service ('acmeComment.com'), having been inspired by this post, naturally.
  3. Keen B4L blogger signs up with said service, entering his Google or Blogger account and password. A 'wrapped' comment feed becomes available within seconds. ('acmeComment.com/keenType/comments?type=rss'). All new comments on his existing blog will likewise appear there.
  4. Keen blogger then grants B4L (itself) the right to display the relevant 'Comment' button/link.
  5. B4L publishes that link for each article it syndicates. Though Blogger users might need to log in (depending on the Keen Type's requirements), B4L readers will be able to publish comments to the shared comments feed URL, that Keen Type will be able to track in any feed reader, or at: 'acmeComment.com/keenType/'
The procedure would be pretty similar for WordPress, etc. bloggers, who would instead have to submit their database login, and user table details, etc.

I'm not going to write any such system myself, but what level of enthusiasm is there for such a thing?

Presumably if the answer is "any", then it's only a matter of time before it appears (I notice that Google has just bought FeedBurner, for what it's worth), and perhaps if this post has inspired you, you'll buy me a drink with your first million of advertising revenue.

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